CFB Picks

Here we go, time to get on track and atone for the poor performance - not much else to say.

OU -4 @ Missouri. Yeah, got in early thinking the line would go up, but it went down (like it even more at -3 and may double down). I like Mizzou as a fan, but that is not what this is about. As you will see as a trend this week, I'm going back to a few theories that I have had for a few weeks. One of those is that the Tigers are a little over-rated. I know, I know, Walt likes them in this spot as OU may not be great and MU will be fired up for a night game with Gameday; but all that aside, OU has dominated Pinkel's MU teams for years (generally to my disappointment). I don't think that changes this year, OU may not be great, but they will be focused and they have a more balanced team than the Tigers. Missouri really can't run the ball and that will catch up with them here. OU will rush 4 and drop everyone else and I don't think MU will be able to consistently move the chains. 4 units. Loss.

Auburn-5.5 vs LSU. So, my other theory, LSU is over-rated this year. I know, they have some impressive wins; but I think this is where their luck ends. In no small part due to Mr. Newton who is something to behold. He is just dominating games in a way we have probably only seen once before, and we all know how successful that can be. Auburn's D is really not very good, but LSU's offense is not built to exploit it since they don't focus on throwing the ball (Auburn's biggest weakness). I think Auburn will be able to make enough plays on D so limit LSU's ability and although I don't expect Auburn to dominate the very solid LSU defense, I am not yet convinced that Newton can be slowed down enough and at home I think they get it done. 2 units. Win.

South Carolina -12 @ Vandy. Not much to say here other than one team is much better than the other. South Carolina may have a hard time getting up for Vandy, but I'm not sure that matters. I'm also a little hesitant to lay double digits with the Gamecocks, but I really don't expect a whole lot from the Vandy offense and I don't think S.C. will have trouble hanging 28 on Vandy. S.C. is in a good position to win the SEC East and I think that will be enough focus for them. 2.5 units. Win.

West Virginia -13.5 vs Syracuse. I think the Mountaineers are starting to hit their stride. They definitely struggled early and I think that made a lot of people forget about them, but they are a good football team, especially on D. And their young QB is growing into his role, although I realize he still has some growing to do. Cuse are improved, but they will really struggle to move the ball against the WVA D. Also, not sure how the Cuse can possible get up for this road game after getting embarrassed at home by an average at best Pitt team. 3 units. Loss.

Nebraska -6 @ Oklahoma St. I think the Huskers are a very solid group and think they will rebound this week in a big way. Bo can coach, and the sign of a good coach is to get his team to bounce back after a poor effort (which Neb clearly had last week). I think they will come out with a chip on their shoulder and put out a good effort. On the other side, I'm not sold that the Cowboys are a quality team. They are certainly decent, but I don't think that is enough to keep up with the Huskers. Think the blackshirts are too much for the Cowboys here and Nebraska wins going away. 3.5 units. Win.

There you have it, my rebound week picks. Good luck!