First, I apologize for the last posting, if anyone is still following this after my horrendous performance the last two weeks. Clearly the Chicago Kid is in a bad rut, but time to break out this week. Not much else to say, so here we go.
West Virgina -10.5 vs. Baylor. Geno Smith has been lighting it up and I expect that to continue. Baylor is a solid team but I think the Mountaineers have too much fire power at home and break this one open in the 2nd half. 2 units.
Ohio State +3 @ Michigan State. This was a tough one as I'm not sure how the Buckeyes will respond in what I consider to be there first real game, but I think they'll come out fired up and focused. Sparty has a solid football team, but the QB play has not been good and I don't think they can just repeatedly pound Bell and have success (see ND game) as OSU does have a solid run defense. Overall I expect this to be an ugly, low-scoring game with neither team wanting to make a mistake and so I'll take the points. 2 units.
Arizona -2.5 vs Oregon St. Yes, the Wildcats got embarrassed last week by the Ducks, but that is part of the reason I like them here at home. They will want to come back and respond to that awful performance and they have the chance to do so at home. They are a solid team and I expect them to be focused this week. Also, I'm not yet sold on the Beavers and think this will be a tough road trip for them. 2 units.
Alabama -29.5 vs Ole Miss. Those who follow this know I do not like laying huge numbers like this, but I'll take my chances with the Tide. They are FAR superior to the Rebels and they are playing at home. I think the fact that it is an SEC game will allow them to continue to play their starters a little longer and at the end of the day I'm not sure that matters as they back-ups may win this game outright as it is. Anyway, the Tide will Roll. 2 units.
Texas -1 @ Oklahoma St. I like the Horns. They know what they do and they do it well. It will be a tough road game, but I'm just not sold that the Cowboys have enough talent to win this game, even at home. I expect Texas to run downhill on them all night and control the pace of the game. I also expect their D to create enough pressure to cause some mistakes. I like the opportunity to get the Horns laying only a point. 2 units.
As you may have noticed, I have 2 units on all of the games. I decided that when you got 2-8 over the last 2 weeks it is just time to scale back a bit and pick winners, so that is what I tried to do.
Good luck, and go USA in the Ryder Cup!
CK
Saturday, September 29, 2012
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